April 1

YOUR REVENUE PROBLEM IS REALLY A HIDDEN NEGOTIATION PROBLEM YOU DON’T KNOW YOU HAVE

Most ecommerce sellers who are frustrated by thin margins assume they have a revenue problem. They do, but the root cause is a negotiation problem they don’t see. Almost every one of them makes the same mistakes.

Not because they are unsophisticated. Because they learned from thousands of online videos and paid courses that repeatedly teach the same wrong methods. It does not stop there. They attend conferences, masterminds, and online groups that reinforce those same self-sabotaging methods and present them as best practice.

Nobody is doing it to be evil. They think they are helping. In truth, they are victims of Argumentum ad populum, the logical fallacy that something is true because many people believe it.

The result is that 65% to 80% of ecommerce sellers are making large sales but ending up with a small income. They think they have done the best they can on price, and walk away satisfied and poor.

And then I come along, spouting off about 7X multipliers, 10X multipliers, 12X multipliers and more. I have been told again and again in Facebook groups and even in person that multipliers that high are not possible.

Yet I get them. Consistently. So do my students. In fact, they often begin negotiations with a margin already twice as high as the margin typical ecommerce sellers finish with. This is before they even mention the word price.

Let’s talk about why that is happening, and what you should be doing instead.

THE WRONG HABITS ARE TAUGHT AND COMMUNALLY REINFORCED

The videos and courses teach sellers to see Chinese negotiation through a Western lens. The people who wrote the first courses did that, and every course that copied them afterwards taught the things the same way. They apply Western assumptions to a process that works entirely differently. They walk in thinking negotiation is a contest. They charm the supplier. They apply pressure. They use tactics from YouTube videos. They look for a hack that gets the price down.

None of these fit Chinese business culture or address how the factory establishes the price. And since they do not understand how the price is built, their tactics become useless. Or worse, they result in higher prices, not lower ones.

It is like trying to win a chess game without knowing how the pieces move, without seeing the board, without knowing which pieces are yours, or even that the pieces exist at all.

Here are the three most common mistakes:

Asking price and MOQ immediately. Wrong. This signals you are transactional or inexperienced before the conversation has started.

Negotiating toward a goal of a blanket percentage. Wrong. Seeking 30% off, or 50% off, or any fixed percentage is based on ego, not business. Factory sales reps are trained to turn that tactic against you.

Calculating what you believe the parts cost and then pushing the factory to accept a low fixed margin on top of that. An entrepreneurial version of what the military calls cost-plus pricing. Wrong. Buyers who negotiate this way are pushing toward an arbitrary cost-plus percentage in order to allay their fear that they have not left money on the table. It may make them feel good, but it is not effective.

Three layers of factory pricing for ecommerce sellers -- Time Labor and Materials, Operational Costs, Company Profit Opportunity
Every product price is built from the same three layers. Understand what the layers are so you can negotiate each layer the correct way.

PRICE IS NOT A RANDOM NUMBER. IT IS A DELIBERATE CALCULATION

Here is what most sellers do not know. Every price for every product from every factory is constructed the same way. From the same three layers.

LAYER 1. TIME, LABOR, AND MATERIALS

To negotiate Layer 1 effectively, you need to know your product. Its materials. Its components. And its manufacturing processes. Buyers who walk in unprepared have nothing real to negotiate with. They can only push on the total number, which tells the factory they do not fully understand what they are asking for.

You need to learn about your product. You need to learn about materials and processes. Watch YouTube videos. You can see almost anything being manufactured in a video if you dig deep enough.

If you are at the Canton Fair, or approaching factories online, there is another technique my friend Kian shared with me. Find a factory that you have no intention of using and then ask them every question you possibly can about materials and processes. Then leave. Or ghost them online. When you contact the factory that you may actually use, or meet them in person, you will appear knowledgeable and prepared. You will ask the right questions. The factory will realize you are serious about your business. The Time, Labor, and Materials discussion becomes constructive. You make knowledgeable tradeoffs. You apply DFM (Design For Manufacturing) principles. You discuss alternatives with confidence. And you bring the price down.

And that is only one of the three layers. It gets better.

LAYER 2. OPERATIONAL COSTS, SALARIES, AND WAGES

Skip this layer. It is not negotiable.

Operational costs, salaries, and wages are the fixed cost of the factory existing. This keeps the lights on, the doors open, and workers paid. You cannot negotiate someone’s rent. You cannot negotiate their payroll. There is nothing here to move.

Buyers who push on this layer, whether they know it or not, are asking the factory to lose money. The factory knows this. It is disrespectful, signals incompetence, and damages the relationship simultaneously.

LAYER 3. COMPANY PROFIT OPPORTUNITY

This is the layer most buyers never see, and it is where the real negotiation happens.

The factory decides how much profit to build into your price based entirely on how they perceive your value. They build this perception from everything you have communicated before price is even discussed. How you engage with them. What you know about your product. What you know about Chinese culture. How viable your business appears. What your business strategy is. What your distribution channels are, and how you will scale over the next three years, five years, or more. As a Chinese friend pointed out, most Westerners do not know where to sit at a round table. How can they run a business?

But if you communicate your value correctly, by the time numbers are discussed, they have already decided to give you a better price. Why? Because they see the value in doing business with you.

Most ecommerce sellers miss this step entirely because every guru and video tells them to jump straight to price and MOQ. When you do that, the factory sees you as transactional. They never get a chance to see what makes you and your plans special. And without knowing anything about you, their default position is to give you the highest price possible.

It makes sense. Your value lies in whatever the factory can charge you today, because they know nothing about you. They have no reason not to believe that in twelve months you might be out of business. So they give you a high price and hope to get as much out of you as quickly as possible and then move on to the next customer.

Sometimes you will get a good price, but it is driven by luck. Or a generous supplier. Not a clear negotiation strategy. Treasure these.

I am not saying that FBA courses don’t teach strategies. Many do. But they are western strategies.

There are a few Western derived strategies that should work, but in practice they don’t. These come from gurus who preach that you must earn the factory’s respect before they will agree to do business with you. This strategy skirts close to communicating your value, but in practice it falls apart quickly because the gurus teach you to lie about yourself and your company.

Another strategy many videos teach you to use is to earn a discount by telling the supplier how large your Amazon sales are. This is the wrong technique for two reasons.

First, Chinese suppliers know that many Amazon sellers treat revenue and profit as the same thing. They boast by saying that they are 7-figure sellers. The Chinese sales reps know that being a 7-figure seller is a vanity metric. And they know that conflating revenue (sales) with profit does not bode well for long-term success.

Second, it is wrong because selling on Amazon is no longer seen as being unique or special. Since 2015, Chinese nationals have been permitted to sell directly on Amazon themselves. Every factory and supplier is already selling there, often under a different name. Every single one. Boasting about your Amazon success is not a value proposition. It is a motivational speech that implies to the factory that they could be doing better without you. And since their product costs are lower than yours, you are effectively encouraging them to compete.

The result is that the message you intended as a value statement defeats you from the start. It is like standing in the rain and saying it is sunny and dry.

You need to communicate your value before you begin negotiating. And the methods taught by the videos and gurus do not work.

GUANXI

At this point you are probably wondering why communicating your value lowers the price. The answer lies in the Chinese concept of Guanxi.

Many Westerners think Guanxi is just a business relationship or friendship. Shared drinks after a meeting, and shared laughs. But it is actually more than a simple relationship.

Guanxi is a mutually beneficial business relationship built on trust, respect, and reciprocal value. It is Confucian, and it follows centuries-old protocols. There are rules around Guanxi. For example, if you invite me into your house, I will invite you into mine. If you bring value to me, I will bring value to you.

This is a cultural contract. An obligation that runs both ways. If the factory perceives that doing business with you will bring real value to them, they will bring value to you in return. Often in lower prices, better terms, and a higher place in the production queue.

When Western buyers miss the opportunity to communicate their value, they miss the reciprocal response. Then they wonder why the prices never get where they need them to be.

TWO BUYERS. SAME FACTORY BOOTH. SAME DAY.

This is not hypothetical. It is fact.

A few years ago, at the Canton Fair, I sat down with the owner of a factory at their booth as part of the shadow negotiation training I run for my students. In that training, the students pretend to be my staff and watch me negotiate with real suppliers in real time. You can see part of a shadow negotiation that was secretly filmed, in one of the videos at CantonFairTrip.com.

You’ll watch as the owner turns his calculator toward me and offers me a price 68% below his opening number. A 15X multiplier. (Actually, just a little bit more.)

What you cannot see on the video is what was happening behind me in the same booth, at the same time.

Two well-known Amazon sellers were negotiating with one of the sales reps. They told her they needed a lower price and boasted about their Amazon success. The sales rep acted impressed, and they made their deal on the spot. It seemed like a win. They bought their products, arranged shipping, agreed to follow up, and walked away with a 10% discount off the printed price.

10% and they thought they had a good day.

Same factory. Same booth. Almost the exact same time.

68% versus 10%.

That is not theory. That is what understanding the three layers, being patient and knowledgeable, and effectively communicating your value to the factory looks like in real life.

The problem was always there. It was just hidden in the training

Get the negotiation right, and get the profit flowing.


Tags

Amazon FBA, Canton Fair, China sourcing, Chinese suppliers, ecommerce sellers, factory negotiation, Guanxi, manufacturing price, negotiation tactics, price layers, product sourcing, profit margin, supplier negotiation, WTP model


Steven Selikoff

About the author

Steven Selikoff is a product development expert, entrepreneur, and the creator of the WTP Product Development Model -- a price-backward approach that starts with the price customers will pay and builds every design, manufacturing, and sourcing decision around it.

His products have been featured on the Today Show, Good Morning America, Fox Business News, in USA Today, Paris Vogue, House Beautiful, and Modern Dog magazine, and in the Oscar gift bags. He is a former Global Business Manager at Microsoft Worldwide Sales and Marketing, and the author of The COMPLETE BOOK of Product Design, Development, Manufacturing, and Sales.

He is the founder of Product1.com where he coaches entrepreneurs, inventors, and small businesses to build defensible, profitable physical products, and leads the Canton Fair Trip at CantonFairTrip.com -- an intensive sourcing and negotiation program in China that consistently produces results most sourcing experts say are impossible.

He lives in the Seattle area and when he is not working he can be found writing and blowing glass.

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